USC vs. Texas A&M score prediction by an expert football model

USC and Texas A&M will face off in the 2024 Las Vegas Bowl. Here is the latest prediction for the game from an expert football model that projects results and picks winners.

Texas A&M was in position to play for the SEC Championship, but a late loss to Texas ended those hopes and the Aggies finished the game 8-4 and just lost most of their talented defensive line due to opt-outs in view the NFL Draft.

USC stumbled to a 6-6 record, putting significant pressure on Lincoln Riley’s tenure as head coach, although the team’s defense has improved from its dismal showing of the last two years.

What do you think will happen when the Trojans and Aggies meet in the postseason?

To do this, let’s turn to the SP+ prediction model to preview how USC and Texas A&M compare in college football’s Las Vegas Bowl game.

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It appears the model remains loyal to the SEC team over the Big Ten challenger, albeit with a manageable lead on the scoreboard.

SP+ predicts Texas A&M will defeat USC by a projected score of 31-24 and win the game by an expected margin of 7.1 points.

The model gives the Aggies a 67 percent chance of a complete victory over the Trojans.

SP+ is a “pace- and opponent-adjusted measure of college football efficiency” that attempts to predict game outcomes by measuring “the most sustained and predictable aspects of football.”

How good is it this season? So far the SP+ model is 384-352-9 against the spread with a win ratio of 52.1.

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According to updated lines posted for the matchup on FanDuel Sportsbook, Texas A&M is the 3.5-point favorite against USC.

FanDuel lists the overall score for the game at 53.5 points (over -104, under -118).

And it set the moneyline odds to win outright for Texas A&M at -156 and for USC at +130.

If you use this prediction to bet on the game, you should…

If you do, you’ll be among the majority of bettors, most of whom expect the Aggies to take on the Trojans, according to the latest spread consensus recommendations for the game.

Texas A&M is receiving 64 percent of the bets to cover the spread in a win over Southern Cal.

The other 36 percent of bets assume USC will either win outright in an upset or keep the lead by a field goal or less in a loss.

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When: Fri, December 27th
Where: Las Vegas, Nevada.

Time: 10:30 p.m. Eastern
TV: ESPN Network

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The game odds are updated regularly and are subject to change.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and needs help, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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