Arkansas State vs. Bowling Green Predictions, Picks, Odds – 68 Ventures Bowl

Bowling Green will look to win its first bowl game since 2014 when the Falcons face Arkansas State in the 68 Ventures Bowl from Hancock Whitney Stadium in Mobile, Alabama.

With the Falcons losing three of their top four players and the Red Wolves nearing full strength, I expect a close battle between the two Arkansas State vs Bowling Green Predictions And College football picks for Thursday, December 26th.

The action begins at 9 p.m. ET, live on ESPN.

Arkansas State vs. Bowling Green prediction and best bet

Who will Arkansas State win against Bowling Green?

This is a pretty even matchup between two teams that have NFL-caliber pass catchers, consistent quarterbacks, and defensive questions. However, Bowling Green has an

The Red Wolves have enough offensive power to keep this game close, but can they come out victorious? I have my doubts. Fannin is an impossible cover for Power Four players – check out his performances against Penn State and Texas A&M – so I think he’ll be able to take over against a Sun Belt team. The Falcons win 27-23.

My best choice
Arkansas State +7.5 (-105 at BetMGM)
Picks made at the time of writing may not reflect live odds.

My analysis
There’s no doubt that the Bowling Green Falcons’ Harold Fannin Jr. is the best player to play in this game, but given that he’s considered one of the NFL’s top 100 talents, it’s fair to wonder how a lot he will play draft.

Even if he plays the entire game and gets fed by QB Connor Bazelak like he has all season, the Falcons have lost their next three best players.

Running back Terion Stewart forced the 15th most tackles in the country this year (63), but he is headed to Virginia Tech. His best blocker, All-MAC offensive tackle Alex Wollschlaeger, is headed to Kentucky. And the team’s defensive chief, Joseph Sipp Jr., is committed to Kansas.

That’s three huge losses, especially for a team that has an advantage by more than one touchdown against a program from a stronger conference. Without Stewart and wool batThis Falcons running game – which ranks 82nd in the EPA per rush this season – will take a big hit.

It should help Arkansas State focus more on stopping Fannin and the passing attack while keeping its ears on star defender Bryan Whitehead II and his 14.3 percent pass rush win rate.

The other side of this matchup is the more important side, as Arkansas State has the ability to expose the Falcons if Sipp is out. Sophomore QB Jaylen Raynor has improved over the course of the season, catching 10 of his 14 touchdown passes in the last six games – he was also credited with 10 great throws during that time.

With Raynor playing his best ball of the year and wide receiver Corey Rucker being one of the best in the G5, the Red Wolves should be able to challenge the Falcons’ pass defense. And they may even be able to expose their run defense with Zak Wallace – it’s 111th in EPA per rush.

Bowling Green simply isn’t eight points better than Arkansas State without Stewart. wool batand Sipp.

Arkansas State vs. Bowling Green, Match Game (SGP)

Arkansas State +7.5

Under 53.5

These two teams combined to score 51.6 points per game this season, but Bowling Green scored more than half of those points. Without Stewart and wool bat With Fannin potentially playing a reduced role on offense to keep him healthy for the NFL Draft process, it’s hard to see these two teams going above that number.

The Falcons have also been one of the better under teams in college football since the beginning of October. In Bowling Green’s last eight games, the score is 6-2 when betting on the under, and both times the over has been reached and the total score has been under 49.

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Arkansas State vs. Bowling Green odds

Arkansas State vs. Bowling Green live odds

Arkansas State vs. Bowling Green opening odds

• Spread between Arkansas State and Bowling Green: Bowling Green -6.5
• Money line Arkansas State vs. Bowling Green: Arkansas State +185, Bowling Green -225
• Arkansas State vs. Bowling Green Over/Under: 49.5

Odds courtesy of BetMGM.

Arkansas State vs. Bowling Green distribution and over/under analysis

• Bowling Green opened as a 6.5-point favorite and the line has since shifted another full point in his direction, with the Falcons offered at -7.5 points.
• Neither team has been consistent in the ATS this season, with Bowling Green 6-6 and Arkansas State 5-7.
• The over/under ratio started at just 49.5 and has steadily increased over the past two weeks, with most books sitting between 52.5 and 53.
• The Red Wolves are betting on the over at 6-6 while the Falcons are just 4-8.

What you need to know about the Arkansas State vs. Bowling Green betting trend

Arkansas State has won the money line in seven of its last 13 games for +1.00 units and a 4% ROI. Find more college football betting trends for Arkansas State vs. Bowling Green.

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