California Baptist Lancers vs. San Diego State Aztecs Prediction, December 11, 2024 College basketball picks, best bets and odds

Game: California Baptist Lancers vs. San Diego State Aztecs

Date: Wednesday, December 11, 2024

Location: Viejas Arena in San Diego, California

TV: ESPN+

The San Diego State Aztecs (6-2) will face the California Baptist Lancers (5-4) at Viejas Arena on Wednesday.

The California Baptist Lancers played against UCF and lost in their last game with a final score of 74-59. As for personal fouls, the Lancers finished with 19, while UCF recorded 15 total personal fouls. They also made 8 of their 21 distance attempts. In the end, UCF shot 69.2% by hitting 18 of 26 shots. In addition, UCF collected 29 boards (6 offensive, 23 defensive) but was unable to record a block in the statistics. UCF earned 16 dimes and had 11 steals for the contest. On defense, California Baptist allowed the opposing team to reach 45.3% from the floor on 24 of 53 shots. They also dished out 6 assists, had 11 turnovers and had 6 steals in the matchup. When it comes to grabbing boards, they scored 35 points, 11 of which came on offense. When shooting from the free throw line, the Lancers made 13 of their 13 attempts, a rate of 100.0%. California Baptist finished with a 35.1% field goal percentage (20 of 57) and drained 6 of 21 three-point attempts.

Dominique Daniels Jr. is a player who played a role in this game. He scored 33 points on 11 of 25 shots. He saw the field for 38 minutes and totaled 1 board. He shot 44.0% from the floor and also recorded 3 assists.

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California Baptist will enter this game with a record of 5-4 on the year. They have possession 9.9 times per game and, as a unit, commit 14.9 fouls each game. As a unit, California Baptist is collecting 36.0 boards per game and has recorded 110 assists so far this year, ranking them 305th in college basketball in passing. The Lancers are shooting 30.5% on three-point attempts (61 of 200) and 77.6% on charity attempts. They are averaging 77.7 points per contest (145th nationally) and are shooting 43.8% from the floor.

On defense, the Lancers forced 12.1 turnovers per game while drawing 17.7 personal fouls. They are shooting 36.9% from distance while ranking 300th in college basketball in PPG allowed (76.7). The Lancers allow an opposing shooting percentage of 47.1% (256 of 543) and collect 35.7 rebounds per game as a group. With 106 assists given to opponents, they are ranked 88th in the country.

In their last game, the San Diego State Aztecs defeated San Diego by a score of 74-57. The Aztecs were able to collect 28 defensive boards and 10 offensive boards for a total of 38 for this contest. They also turned it over 10 times and had 6 steals in the game. San Diego was assessed 17 personal fouls for the match, giving the Aztecs a total of 15 shots in the charity stripe. They were able to knock down 11 of their free throw attempts, a rate of 73.3%. When it came to 3-point shots, San Diego State converted 5 of its 17 attempts (29.4%). When the final whistle blew, the Aztecs shot 29 for 66 from the floor, a shooting percentage of 43.9%. The Aztecs allowed San Diego to convert on 17 of 55 attempts from the floor, giving them a 30.9% rate in the match. They shot 18.8% from distance by shooting 6 of 32 and shot 17 of 23 from the charity stripe (73.9%). In terms of cleaning up the glass, San Diego State allowed San Diego to score a total of 33 points (7 on offense).

Nick Boyd had a huge impact on the Aztecs in the competition. He scored 17 points and contributed 6 assists in his 32 minutes of play for the contest. He made 5 of 10 for the game, a field goal percentage of 50.0%, and added 4 rebounds.

San Diego State has a win-loss record of 6-2 this year. The Aztecs commit 17.5 personal fouls per game while shooting 65.8% from the charity stripe. They receive an assist 14.0 times per contest (187th in college basketball) and give it up 10.3 times per game. San Diego State has 600 points this year (75.0 per contest) and averages 38.9 boards per contest. On the offensive side of the ball, the Aztecs are shooting 45.5%, which ranks 166th nationally.

San Diego State’s defense is allowing 28.8% of its shots from 3-point land (59 of 205) and its opponents are making 71.1% of their shots from the free throw line. They allow 11.3 assists and 38.1 rebounds per game, which are 71st and 312th in college basketball. Defensively, the Aztecs rank 29th in the country in PPG goals at 63.4. They are capable of forcing 12.5 TOs per game and have allowed teams to shoot 34.5% from the field (1st in the country).

Who will win the NCAA basketball game against the spread tonight?

Guy Bruhn’s pick: Take San Diego State

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