Commanders vs. Falcons best bets, props, all-time TD scorers for “SNF”

When the Washington Commanders vs. Atlanta Falcons game was moved to the “Sunday Night Football” slot in Week 17, many thought it would be a matchup between Kirk Cousins and the team that drafted him.

Instead, Cousins was benched in favor of rookie Michael Penix Jr. The Falcons traded for a 2024 first-round pick to boost their struggling offense in hopes of making the postseason.

The move allowed them to move past the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the NFC South at the start of Week 17. Now they will try to maintain that top spot in a tough clash with the Commanders.

Washington just picked up a crucial season win over the Philadelphia Eagles that kept them alive in the NFC East race. The Commanders entered Week 17 needing just one win to secure at least a wild card spot. Therefore, they should look forward to the opportunity to kick-start the Josh Harris and Dan Quinn era with a postseason appearance.

This game will have an impact on the NFC playoff picture, and that’s good news for bettors who can find some good picks among the odds lines for the penultimate “SNF” game of the year.

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What are the best bets for Sunday Night Football? Here are some player props and anytime TD bets to consider for the “SNF” battle of potential NFC playoff teams in Week 17.

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Best bets for Sunday Night Football

All odds are available starting Saturday via BetMGM.

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Jayden Daniels OVER 1.5 pass TDs (+100)

Daniels is coming off one of his best games as a pro, leading the Commanders to a whopping 36 points in a comeback win over the Eagles. He threw five touchdowns in this contest, and while some may expect a regression after this performance, he should only continue to have success in this matchup.

The Falcons entered Week 17 having allowed 28 touchdowns to quarterbacks. That was the highest rate in the NFL alongside the Carolina Panthers.

While Atlanta’s pass defense appears to be better of late, it’s worth noting that the Falcons have played Desmond Ridder and Drew Lock in back-to-back games. Previously, they had allowed multiple passing touchdowns in eight of nine games and averaged 2.6 passing touchdowns per game during that span.

Add to that the fact that Daniels has thrown multiple touchdowns in four straight games, and this seems like a great opportunity for the rookie to continue improving his stats.

Terry McLaurin any time TD (-145)

If you’re betting on Daniels in this match, you might as well bet on McLaurin to score as well. The duo have been well-coordinated during Daniel’s recent streak, as McLaurin has scored a total of six touchdowns in his last four games.

The Falcons have allowed 20 touchdowns to wide receivers this season, the most in the league, which should give McLaurin a chance to find his way into the end zone. He may have a difficult game at times against AJ Terrell, but the star receiver should be able to break free near the end zone at least once in this game.

If you’re not interested in backing McLaurin to score a touchdown, taking his total receiving yards (63.5, -115) might be a safer substitute. Scary Terry has averaged 6.3 catches and 77 yards per game in his last four appearances, so he should have another big day against a leaky secondary.

Bijan Robinson UNDER 3.5 receptions (-175)

No team in the NFL has allowed fewer catches to running backs than the Commanders. The position has recorded just 43 catches for a league-low 54 targets in 15 games against Washington. This makes it difficult for Atlanta to get the ball out of the backfield to its running backs.

That’s something the Falcons haven’t done recently. In the last three games, Robinson has only been targeted a total of six times, twice in each game. Granted, two of those came with Cousins in the starting lineup, but even in Penix’s debut, Zac Robinson didn’t schedule many checkdowns for the running back. They used Bijan as a runner when they wanted to get him to the ball.

All of this suggests that this player prop is hitting. The variation may not be particularly tempting, but this seems like a good option if you’re looking for a safe bet to include in a parlay in the same game.

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Kyle Pitts any time TD (+220)

Anyone looking for a long-hitting touchdown scorer could certainly do worse than Pitts. Penix only threw in his direction twice in his starting debut, including a target in the red zone. Of course, Pitts dropped that pass into the hands of a waiting defender, which may explain why the rookie didn’t look his way often.

Nonetheless, Pitts is having a good game against a Washington defense that has allowed seven touchdowns to tight ends this season, tied for the fifth-most in the NFL. This could be a good opportunity for him to develop chemistry with Penix and prove he can still be a matchup nightmare, even if his re-signing with Atlanta is far from certain.

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