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Golden Knights vs. Ducks prediction, tips and odds for today’s NHL game

Golden Knights vs. Ducks prediction, tips and odds for today’s NHL game

The Golden Knights travel and the Ducks play beyond their offensive minds. This has all the makings of a low-scoring defensive battle, and the under is the best bet of the night.

Neil Parker – Analyst at Covers.com

December 4, 2024 • 11:17 ET

• 4 min reading

Photo by – Imagn Images.

The Vegas Golden Knights have already defeated the Anaheim Ducks in back-to-back meetings this season, and the two Pacific Division clubs enter their third matchup of the year on Wednesday, December 4 at Honda Center.

My Golden Knights vs. Ducks predictions are that there will be few goals in another low-scoring matchup tonight.

I examine their defense and lack of scoring prowess in my NHL picks before puck drop at 10 p.m. ET.

Golden Knights vs Ducks Prediction

My best choice
Under 6.5 (-115 at Pinnacle)

My analysis

While the Anaheim Ducks progress to a solid 5-2-1 stretch, their 5-on-5 play remains 27th with a Corsi For percentage of 46.5 and an expected goals percentage of 45.7 Disaster. The Ducks benefited from an unsustainably high team shooting percentage of 11.48 at 5-on-5, nearly double their mark of 6.25 earlier in the year.

Anaheim will no longer be able to score as efficiently.

On the other hand, the Vegas Golden Knights earned a 1-0 win against the Edmonton Oilers on Tuesday and are playing their second game in a row.

It’s the perfect setup for Vegas to get back on defense and play a low-event style, and the Golden Knights already have the first two games of the season series against the Ducks with 3-1 and 3-2 wins won.

In both games, the total score was under 6.5, and the division opponents have played under the score of 6.5 in seven of their past meetings.

Even away from home, the Vegas offense wasn’t as strong in 5-on-5 play.

Golden Knights 5 on 5 Home Away
Goals per game 3.0 (first) 2.01 (12th)
Goals per 60 3.51 (third) 2.43 (19.)
Expected goals per 60 2.57 (14 tons) 2.31 (20.)

Of course, Vegas capitalizing on an unsustainable 10.39 third-place team shooting percentage at 5-on-5 has been a key part of their success all season, and I expect the Golden Knights to struggle as well to maintain this brand.

Golden Knights vs. Ducks – Match Game Parlay (SGP)

bet365 logo

Under 6.5

Olen Zellweger Over 1.5 shots

Shea Theodore Over 2.5 shots

Anaheim defenseman Olen Zellweger has taken two or more shots in 12 of 13 games since the calendar changed to November, averaging 20:01 minutes of ice time, including 3:21 at quarterback on the No. 1 power play unit. 1.

Zellweger has also gone 5-on-5 possessions in 13 games, with a Corsi-For percentage of 52.1, while also completing 67.2% of his faceoffs in the offensive zone.

Vegas defenseman Shea Theodore remains on the blue line and has registered just seven shots despite making 28 attempts in the last five games. Converting just 25% of his attempts into shots isn’t sustainable, especially considering he recorded 39 shots on 93 attempts (41.9%) through the first 18 games of the year.

This is also a great matchup for statistical corrections, as Anaheim has allowed the fourth-most shots to opposing defensemen per game (9.32) and overall per game (33.3).

Learn how to place a bet in the same game with these helpful tips and strategies.

Golden Knights vs Ducks odds

Golden Knights vs Ducks live odds

Golden Knights vs. Ducks opening odds

  • Puck line: Vegas -1.5 (+150) | Anaheim +1.5 (-180)
  • Money line: Vegas -170 | Anaheim +145
  • Over/Under: Over 6 (-120) | Under 6 (+100)

Golden Knights vs Ducks trend

The Knights and Ducks have played the Under in seven of their last nine games. Find more NHL betting trends for Golden Knights vs. Ducks.

How to watch Golden Knights vs. Ducks

Location: Honda Center, Anaheim, CA
Date: Wednesday, December 4th, 2024
Puck drop: 10:00 p.m. ET
TV: Victory+, Fox 11 Plus

Golden Knights vs Ducks recent injuries

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