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NFL 2024 Week 17 Betting – Seattle Seahawks and Chicago Bears, Tips, Odds, Lines

NFL 2024 Week 17 Betting – Seattle Seahawks and Chicago Bears, Tips, Odds, Lines

Week 17 continues with a post-Christmas showdown between the Seattle Seahawks and Chicago Bears. The Seahawks are still alive in the NFC playoff hunt, although they need a lot of things to go right to actually make the postseason. After two straight losses to the Green Bay Packers and the Minnesota Vikings, Seattle (+500 to win the division) sits at 8-7 and one game behind the Los Angeles Rams (-800) for first place in the NFC West.

Meanwhile, the Bears are in the midst of a nine-game losing streak with three straight losses by more than 17 points. Although Seattle hasn’t had the best performance of late, the team is 6-2 against teams with losing records and 5-1 on the road. The Seahawks have to do without running back Kenneth Walker III and instead put Zach Charbonnet in the starting lineup. Charbonnet thrived when opportunities presented themselves, averaging 4.3 yards per carry. Seattle enters the game as a 4-point away favorite after starting the week as a 3.5-point favorite. The total has fallen to 42.5 after opening at 43.5.

Here’s everything you need to know to bet on Seahawks-Bears and Eric Moody’s best bet for the game.

Odds are current as of publication, courtesy of ESPN BET


Game lines

Spread: Seahawks -4 (Open Seahawks -3.5)
Money line: Seahawks (-210), Bears (+175)
Over/Under: 42.5 (open 43.5)

Distribution in the first half: Seahawks -2.5 (-130), Bears +2.5 (Even)
First half moneyline: Seahawks (-180), Bears (+140)
Seahawks total points: 23.5 (above -125/below -105)
Bears total points: 17.5 (above -115/below -115)

Matchup Predictor (according to ESPN Analytics): Seahawks 50.9% chance of winning


The props

Passing by

Geno Smith total passing yards: 224.5 (above -120/below -110)
Smith’s total passing TDs: 1.5 (Over +110/Under -135)
Caleb Williams total passing yards: 224.5 (Over +105/Under -135)
Williams total passing touchdowns: 1.5 (Over +135/Under -175)

Rush

Zach Charbonnet Total Rushing Yards: 69.5 (above -125/below -105)
D’Andre Swift Total Rushing Yards: 59.5 (above even/below -130)
Williams total rushing yards: 29.5 (above even/below -130)

Reception

Jaxon Smith-Njigba total receiving yards: 79.5 (Over +105/Under -135)
DK Metcalf total receiving yards: 59.5 (Over -135/Under +105)
DJ Moore’s total receiving yards: 59.5 (above even/below -130)
Keenan Allen total receiving yards: 59.5 (above -120/below -110)
Rome Odunze Total Receiving Yards: 44.5 (above -110/below -120)
Noah Fant total receiving yards: 29.5 (above -135/below +105)
Charbonnet total receiving yards: 24.5 (above -105/below -125)


Eric Moody’s choice

Jaxon Smith-Njigba 80-plus receiving yards (+110)

Smith-Njigba has emerged as Seattle’s best passing playmaker this season. He has been heavily involved since the Seahawks’ bye in Week 10, scoring seven or more goals in four of six games. He also recorded more than 80 receiving yards in four of those contests. Now he faces a non-playoff Bears defense that gives up the most receptions per game to wide receivers. Smith-Njigba is ready for another big performance.


Betting trends

Courtesy of ESPN Research

  • The Seahawks have played four straight road games.

  • The Seahawks have played four straight games against teams with losing records.

  • The Seahawks are 1-5 ATS in their last six games as favorites (1-3 ATS this season).

  • The Seahawks have been the road favorite since 2020 at 5-10 ATS.

  • The Bears are 0-3 ATS in their last three games. They have lost a total of nine games in a row.

  • The Bears are 18-34 ATS underdogs over the last four seasons. They are 7-13 ATS as home underdogs in that span.


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