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Strong storm system – KION546

Strong storm system – KION546

The next, stronger storm is currently brewing over the Pacific. Winds will increase ahead of the storm throughout Friday and become significantly stronger overnight into Saturday morning. The storm will dump a wave of lighter rain late Friday evening, with the heavier rain arriving with the cold front Saturday morning. There is some instability, so a thunderstorm along the coast cannot be ruled out. Overall, Saturday’s rainfall is not expected to be extreme as the system moves quickly, but road flooding is possible. Isolated damaging winds are also possible, which can lead to blocked roads and power outages. Additionally, there will be another series of higher waves early Saturday, possibly coinciding with King Tide and a smaller storm surge.

AIR QUALITY: Good

**WIND ADVISORY**
…for the Santa Cruz Mountains and Coastal Santa Cruz County, valid from 1:00 p.m. Friday to 10:00 p.m. Friday, then as a high wind warning (see below)

*South winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 40 mph are expected

Gusty winds blow around unsecured objects. Tree branches may fall and some power outages may occur. The combination of wind and wet soils increases the risk
fallen trees.

Such strong winds can make driving difficult, especially for high-profile vehicles. Be extra careful.

Friday: Mostly cloudy to start with a chance of light rain, then partly cloudy and dry for the rest of the day. Slightly warmer with highs in the upper 50s to lower 60s. The southerly wind is slowly increasing, on the exposed coast it is initially windy in the afternoon, then becomes stronger in the evening. A little later there may be light rain around the bay.

**WIND ADVISORY**
…for the Santa Clara Valley and Diablos in Santa Clara County, valid from Friday 7:00 p.m. to Saturday 10:00 a.m.

*Southeast winds 15 to 25 mph and gusts up to 50 mph are expected.

*Gusty winds blow around unsecured objects. Tree branches may fall and some power outages may occur. The combination of wind and wet soils increases the risk of fallen trees.

Such strong winds can make driving difficult, especially for high-profile vehicles. Be extra careful.

***Storm Warning***
…for offshore waters from Pigeon Point to Point Pinos (outside Monterey Bay), effective from 9:00 p.m. Friday until 3:00 a.m. Saturday, when the warning is upgraded to STORM WARNING (see below)

*South winds of 20 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt and seas of 8 to 13 feet are expected.

…and for Monterey Bay valid from 9:00 p.m. Friday to 9:00 a.m. Friday
* Southeast winds of 15 to 25 kt, gusts of up to 45 kt are expected.

…and for the coastal waters from Point Pinos to Point Piedras Blancas, valid from 9:00 p.m. Friday to 9:00 a.m. Saturday

*Southeast winds of 20 to 30 kt with gusts up to 45 kt and seas of 7 to 12 feet are expected

*Conditions are dangerous for small boats.

Sailors should change their plans to avoid these dangerous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, change course and/or secure the vessel from dangerous conditions.

***Strong Wind Warning***
… for the Santa Cruz Mountains and coastal Santa Cruz County, valid from 10:00 p.m. Friday to 7:00 a.m. Saturday (replaces wind advisory)

*South winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph are expected.

*Damaging winds can down trees and power lines. Large-scale power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult, especially for high-profile vehicles. Devastating winds could topple trees, snap power lines and cause property damage. Large-scale power outages are possible. Traveling can be extremely difficult and dangerous, especially for high profile vehicles. The combination of wind and wet soils increases the risk of fallen trees. Gusty winds blow around unsecured objects. Tree branches may fall and some power outages may occur. Strong winds can move loose debris, cause minor property damage and cause sporadic power outages. Traveling could be difficult, especially for high-profile vehicles.

It is strongly recommended that you secure loose items that could be blown around or damaged by the wind.

Such strong winds can make driving difficult, especially for high-profile vehicles. Be extra careful.

**WIND ADVISORY**
…for coastal Monterey County, effective from 10:00 p.m. Friday to 4:00 a.m. Saturday, followed by a High Wind Warning (see below)

*Southeast winds 5 to 15 mph and gusts up to 35 mph are expected.

*Gusty winds blow around unsecured objects. Tree branches may fall and some power outages may occur. The combination of wind and wet soils increases the risk of fallen trees.

Such strong winds can make driving difficult, especially for high-profile vehicles. Be extra careful.

**HIGH SURF NOTICE**
…for north and west facing beaches in Santa Cruz and Monterey counties, valid from 10:00 p.m. Friday to 7:00 p.m. Saturday

*Large breaking waves of 18 to 22 feet are expected.

*Dangerous swimming and surfing conditions and local beach erosion.

Inexperienced swimmers should avoid the water because of the dangerous surf.

**WIND ADVISORY**
…for interior Monterey County and all of San Benito County, valid from 1 a.m. Saturday to 10 a.m. Saturday

*Southeast winds of 15 to 25 mph and gusts up to 45 mph are expected – possibly up to 50 mph in the Santa Lucia Range

*Gusty winds blow around unsecured objects. Tree branches may fall and some power outages may occur. The combination of wind and wet soils increases the risk
fallen trees.

Such strong winds can make driving difficult, especially for high-profile vehicles. Be extra careful.

***STORM WARNING***
…for the coastal waters from Pigeon Point to Point Pinos, valid from 3 a.m. Saturday to 9 a.m. Saturday.

*Southerly winds of 30 to 40 kt with gusts up to 55 kt and waves of 10 to 14 feet are expected.

*Squalls and dangerous seas can capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

Sailors should remain in port, alter course and/or secure the vessel in the event of severe conditions.

***Strong Wind Warning***
…for coastal Monterey County, effective from 4 a.m. Saturday to 10 a.m. Saturday, consistent with the wind advisory for the area

*Southeast winds 15 to 25 mph and gusts up to 45 mph are expected.

*Damaging winds can down trees and power lines. Large-scale power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult, especially for high-profile vehicles. Devastating winds could topple trees, snap power lines and cause property damage. Large-scale power outages are possible. Traveling can be extremely difficult and dangerous, especially for high profile vehicles. The combination of wind and wet soils increases the risk of fallen trees. Gusty winds blow around unsecured objects. Tree branches may fall and some power outages may occur.

It is strongly recommended that you secure loose items that could be blown around or damaged by the wind.

Such strong winds can make driving difficult, especially for high-profile vehicles. Be extra careful.

Saturday: Moderate to briefly heavy rain in the morning hours, then easing with some persistent showers in the afternoon. Slight chance of a thunderstorm on the coast. At the beginning there will be intermittently gusty and potentially damaging southerly winds, which will then change to the north-west and ease. Highs will be in the mid 50s to around 60°F.

Advanced: Dry conditions return Sunday with the next, weaker system arriving late Monday. High pressure will build up in the final middle of the week, which should warm us up a bit. There may also be a chance of brief offshore winds.

*Note: All National Weather Service warnings in Monterey are highlighted in italics above. Warnings may be edited for brevity or for local clarification


————————————————– ———————
This week’s normal temperatures:
–Coastal Towns–
LOW: 42°F
HIGH: 60°F

–INLAND CITIES–
LOW: 37°F
HIGH: 60°F
————————————————– ————————
-The Climate Prediction Center outlook for December 20thTh – 26Th calls for the likelihood of ABOVE normal temperatures and near normal precipitation.

– ENSO (El Niño/La Niña) STATUS: La Niña clock
– ENSO forecast: Transitioning to La Niña in the fall and lasting through the winter months.
– Drought status in the region: Unusually dry for areas around Monterey Bay to the north. Elsewhere without drought
– Sea surface temperature in Monterey Bay as of December 12Th : 54.3°F (7 buoy average) (December average: 55.0°F)

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