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The race for a single House of Representatives is between Republicans and the 1-seat majority

The race for a single House of Representatives is between Republicans and the 1-seat majority

House Republicans could start the new year with a one-seat majority, a dangerously narrow margin for the 119th Congress as President-elect Donald Trump serves his first 100 days.

Last-minute Republican defeats and defections in favor of the new administration mean Republicans have little room for dissent early in this phase, and a congressional election could make the difference between a likely one- or two-seat majority.

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Mike Johnson

House Speaker Mike Johnson could have a one-seat majority next year. (FOX News)

In California’s 13th Congressional District, California Representative John Duarte is fighting for his political life against Democrat Adam Gray.

As of Monday afternoon, Gray leads Duarte by a few hundred votes — a margin of about 0.1%. California state law requires counties to certify their election results by December 5th.

If Democrats flipped the seat, the House would consist of 220 Republicans and 215 Democrats at the start of the new year.

But the departure of three Republican lawmakers is expected to curb that even further. Now-former Rep. Matt Gaetz, R-Fla., resigned from the 118th and 119th Congresses because he was considering becoming Trump’s attorney general.

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A photo of John Duarte

Rep. John Duarte is fighting for his political life in the final uncertain race for the House of Representatives. (AP Photo/J. Scott Applewhite)

House GOP Conference Chairwoman Elise Stefanik, R-N.Y., has been selected as U.S. ambassador to the United Nations, and Rep. Mike Waltz, R-Fla., has been named national security adviser.

All three representatives represent deep red districts, so there is little concern that their seats will fall into Democratic hands.

But with special elections set for April 1 to replace Gaetz and Waltz and Stefanik’s election not yet scheduled, the GOP could spend almost the entire first 100 days controlling Washington’s power centers with a one-seat majority in the House .

House Republican Rep. Tom Emmer, R-Minn., dismissed concerns about the prospect of a one- or two-seat margin in a recent television interview on FOX Business.

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Emmer speaks at the Trump rally in Minnesota

House Majority Leader Tom Emmer dismissed concerns about a slim majority. (Stephen Maturen/Getty Images)

“This is essentially what we had last year, for much of last year,” Emmer told The Bottom Line.

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“I have to tell you, I don’t give a fuck if it’s 222, 225, 218. As long as we have a majority, we can deliver with Donald J. Trump for the American people.”

Ultimately, there is little clarity between a one- or two-seat majority, but if the 118th Congress is any indication, the numbers present House Speaker Mike Johnson, R-La., with a difficult political situation.

Republicans’ slim majorities in the House of Representatives over the past two years have allowed various factions of the Republican Party to temporarily paralyze the chamber over disagreements over government funding and other critical legislative disputes.

Get the latest updates on the 2024 election, exclusive interviews and more at our Fox News Digital Election Center.

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