Week 16 NFL props picks and predictions for all day Sunday

Last week was another good day for us in the world of player prop betting, but that doesn’t necessarily mean it was good for players.

Jameis Winston couldn’t stay in the game long enough to avoid being benched, while David Montgomery was out for the year with an MCL injury.

Montgomery helped us earn +500 props on his receiving yards and a gain of 1.9 units, increasing our season gain to 7.15 units.

Hopefully we can avoid the injuries and win some bets this Sunday.

Week 15 NFL Player Props

Brock Bowers over 67.5 yards (-114, FanDuel) | Anytime touchdown scorer (+185, Fanatics) | 150+ receiving yards (+1600, Bet365)

The Jaguars simply let Davante Adams roll for almost 200 yards, and we’re supposed to believe Brock Bowers won’t roll in this matchup?

Jacksonville allows the most yards per pass attempt in the NFL and ranks 32nd in defense-adjusted value above average (DVOA) against the pass.

Bowers is their primary passing target and Aidan O’Connell is back as the starting quarterback.

We know he likes to drop back and pass, and the Raiders trust him.

Target Bowers early and often this weekend.

James Conner over 83.5 (-113, BetRivers) | 130+ (+525, Bet365) 150+ (+1000, Bet365)

James Conner has become the star cow in Arizona and has the best possible matchup this weekend.

The Panthers are ranked 32nd in DVOA against the run and are allowing five yards per carry this season.

His projection is 18.5 rushing attempts and given the five YPCs allowed to the Jaguars, my calculation puts us at a projection of 92.5.

You can even make it fancier and add it up to an alternative total, 130+ is +525 at Bet365 and 150+ at 10/1.

Betting on the NFL?

Bucky Irving scored 152 points three weeks ago while Saquon Barkley scored 120 points.

Rico Dowdle scored 149 points against that terrible Panthers defense last week.

Watch Conner cook.

Why should you trust New York Post Betting?

Erich Richter is a Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu blue belt, but he has a black belt in MMA betting. During football season, he made huge profits in the player prop market during his final two seasons at The Post. Although he is constantly betting on distance, his return on investment since 2022 is 30.15 percent.